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Live in Nigeria?(***insert your 3rd world country here***). This is why your startup will fail.

22 Feb

You live in Nigeria or any 3rd world country?, are a techie and thinking of starting a web startup? here are some reasons why your startup is doomed to fail.

1. Your startup is a solution to a “WANT” and not a “NEED”. If you can remember your basic economics, you should know what “WANTS” and “NEEDS” are. Quickly, I would define a “NEED” as something you have to have, something you can’t do without e.g. food, clothing and shelter, while a “WANT” is something you would like to have. It is not absolutely necessary, but it would be a good thing to have. A good example is music.

When developing your startup idea, ask yourself, “is what I am creating a solution to a NEED or a WANT?”  According to the Nigerian Bureau of statistics 60.9% of Nigerians in 2010 were living in “absolute poverty” i.e. less than $1 per day. Do you think that taking a hiatus to create a music startup to enable these people living in abject poverty listen to music amounts to a good use of your time? or “skills”?

2. Your startup is a clone of some popular 1st world website or application [1]. Why would you clone when there are a myriad of problems you could develop solutions for? If you are developing a clone, ask yourself this question “why would anyone use this (***insert the name of your clone***) instead of the main thing (***insert the name of the website you cloned***)?” .

3. Your startup will require loads and loads of traffic i.e. pageviews with gullible people who would be ready to click on Google ads before it can generate income. In Nigeria, there are no VC’s, no Angels, no startup accelerators, no Government support programs, no infrastructure, regular electricity supply is a pipe dream, Internet access is patchy and expensive, in short, “NO NOTHING”. So it kind of beats me why anyone would base his startup’s business model on the benevolence of Google? In between the time your startup comes online to the time it can generate enough traffic to keep the lights on and the servers humming, how would you survive? Do you have some gold bars stashed under your mattress somewhere? If not, why don’t you just develop a product where you can start charging from the very first day? [2]

4. Reading too much of Techcrunch et al. These tech blogs are written by elitist white techies who live in silicon valley where the difference between over there and here is like light and day. Any advice you can glean from those sites just isn’t applicable here in Nigeria. [3]

NOTES

[1] The current fad in Nigeria is creating clones of Groupon.com. It once used to be Twitter clones, bulk sms and then Facebook clones. Why coders still do this kind of beats me. Instead of cloning, why don’t you build on these sites and take advantage of things like Facebook’s “Social Graph” etc and develop innovative solutions? Developing another DROPBOX wont meet the need of the average Nigerian, he has no need for it, and if he does why wont he go for the original? patriotism? please!

[2] Despite the fact that 60.9% of Nigerians live under $1 per day and there are 90 million mobile subscribers in the country with at least 1 mobile phone, these phones have to be loaded with “call credit” by these people because communication has become a NEED and not a WANT. So despite the grinding poverty in the country, the major Telco’s still declare mind boggling profits every year, with Nigeria now having the largest mobile phone market in Africa with 60% penetration. So in order to be successful, develop a solution to a NEED and not a WANT.

[3] Sarah Lacy, a former columnist for Techcrunch, when she came to Nigeria in 2011 advised techies not to read Techcrunch et al. Its of no use, the stories of billion dollar valuations for 6 month old companies that do nothing but count your number of Twitter followers will actually screw with your head. That can never happen here, this is Nigeria, be creative, be innovative, think local but act global.

Number One Reason Why The Nigerian Tech Scene won’t “BLOW”!!!

10 Jul

I sometimes complain about lack of innovation and the endless clones of popular western world type websites, but on second thoughts web developers in Nigeria shouldn’t be blamed, it makes sense travelling on the “safe road” especially when you have a major reason to do so as:

1. Payment gateways: Its so difficult and expensive integrating payment gateways from companies like “Interswitch” into a website[1] and with the16 just licensed mobile money operators, who don’t seem to care about the web but are more concerned about mobile to mobile and mobile to offline, cash transfers. I dont see the industry “blowing up” anytime soon. If its so hard to get your money from customers as a website owner via the web, why would anyone want to develop one? Whenever I go to any of the so called Nigerian “e-commerce” websites, I select stuff I am interested in, click on “checkout” and I am presented with a bank account number where I am to deposit money before I can get my stuff, I am like, jeez!!! whats “e-commerce” about this? How do you expect me to pay in money into the account of an untested company when I could just go to a supermarket or store, select what I want, pay for it and get my goods instantly without any stories? As an analogy, Nigeria’s music scene is so huge today because most people who go into music have this hope that they might just “blow” and make it “big”, because they can see others making big money in the industry. So in the mean time, we better be prepared to seeing little or no innovation and lots of clones of Facebook and a myriad of “SIMPLEMACHINE” forums in Nigeria’s Tech space, just as we have lots of people in the music industry who have no business being there [2].

Notes
[1] In 2004, I did some research and found out that it would cost upwards of #150k to integrate Interswitch web payment gateway into a site. #150K in 2004!!! How many web devs could afford splashing such an amount on just a gateway, minus other day to day running costs? I dont know how much it would cost now, anyway. Dear Interswitch et al, there is more to epayment channels than just ATM’s and POS machines and with the new CBN’s cash withdrawal policy, people, like it or not would be forced to use epayment channels, please “don’t drop the ball”. But if you guys do, which I strongly suspect you will, any of the new mobile money operators should please do to you what Google did to Microsoft in the Web Search Industry.
[2.] Although we have some gems in the Nigerian music scene, like 70% of them there now have no business being near a microphone. Terry G, I am looking at you!

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